Farther to the right hand side represents the best case scenario, with only the Bahamas seeing direct impacts from Isaias.

Hurricane Isaias (/ ˌisɑːˈiːɑːs /) was a destructive Category 1 hurricane that caused extensive damage across the Caribbean and the East Coast of the United States, including a large tornado outbreak that generated the strongest tropical cyclone-spawned tornado since Hurricane Rita in 2005. With a more intense Isaias than forecast yesterday for the Bahamas, a mounting issue is the potential for damaging storm surge inundating several population centers in the Bahamas. [116] An unsecured barge along the Schuylkill River in Philadelphia broke loose from flooding caused by the storm and struck the Vine Street Expressway Bridge that carries Interstate 676 across the river, causing a portion of Interstate 676 to be closed and SEPTA Regional Rail service to be suspended. [32] A tornado watch was also issued for Southern New England on the morning of August 4. [122] Two tornadoes were confirmed to have touched down; the first one was a large wedge EF1 tornado that caused considerable damage in Strathmere and Marmora in Upper Township. Isaias was the second tropical cyclone to affect the Northeastern States in a 3-week time span after Tropical Storm Fay in early July. Carolinas:  Much Higher Risk with Direct Category-1 Landfall Increasingly Likely.

[26] Afterward, Isaias's extratropical remnant moved northwestward, before turning eastward on August 6. A Hurricane Warning is now effect for the northwestern Bahamas including Andros Island, New Providence, Eleuthera, Abacos Islands, Berry Islands, Grand Bahamas Island and Bimini. [125] A 21-year-old man drowned off the coast of Cape May, New Jersey, due to strong rip currents and rough surf. Examining today’s cone and potential ramifications of verification: Before commencing today’s discussion, here are the outcomes of yesterday’s questions regarding Isaias: How much does the mountains of Hispaniola disrupt the circulation of Isaias?

[32][45] In Maryland, multiple closures were announced for August 4 due to the storm's passage, including the Maryland Zoo. For many minority voters, it’ll weigh heavily on their choice in the ballot box. With the eastward shift in the forecast, the strongest peak gusts now expected along the east coast of Florida are at tropical storm strength. [52][53] On the morning of August 4, a Tornado watch was issued for New York City, Long Island, New Jersey, and a portion of Connecticut. [70] High winds overturned three tractor trailers along the U.S. Route 50 bridge over the Choptank River in Cambridge, Maryland. The potential impacts to the northeastern US and Canada will be an item to monitor closely moving forward. [6] The wave gradually organized and became better defined, developing a broad area of low pressure. Damage to the beaches was minimal. Bahamas Power and Light shut off electricity to areas at high risk of flooding on New Providence, the most populous island in the Bahamas, until it was safe to re-energize. [90] Additionally, 109 tornado warnings were issued across 12 states with 39 tornadoes touching down, eight of which were significant (EF2+). Isaias impacted portions of the Eastern Caribbean and caused significant damage in the Eastern United States. [112][118], Isaias was the second tropical cyclone to affect the two states in a 3-week time span after Tropical Storm Fay in early July. Evacuate immediately if so ordered. Outside of the pandemic, 2020 has marked another kind of struggle… one for racial equality. Hurricane Isaias (/ˌisɑːˈiːɑːs/)[1] was a destructive Category 1 hurricane that caused extensive damage across the Caribbean and the East Coast of the United States while also spawning a large tornado outbreak that generated the strongest tropical cyclone-spawned tornado since Hurricane Rita in 2005. The expectation on intensity continues to carry some uncertainty. Later that evening, data from another hurricane hunter reconnaissance aircraft confirmed a closed eyewall and a lower minimal central pressure of 987 mbar (29.15 inHg). As the storm turned northeastward, it entered a more favorable environment for strengthening, with wind shear relaxing just enough to allow the storm to redevelop intense convection. [136] Further west, Trois-Rivières received 100 millimeters (4 inches) of rain, and 120 millimeters (4.7 inches) fell in Charlevoix. Across the province of Quebec, over 38,189 homes lost power because of the tropical storm. The consensus of the majority of weather models this morning portray the likelihood of a landfall on southern coast of North Carolina, with the mean expectation from the National Hurricane Center of 85 mph maximum sustained winds by Sunday evening into Monday morning. [15], As the storm approached Southeast Florida, a strong mid-level circulation formed just northeast of the low-level circulation center, spawning intense convection mainly north and east of the LLCC. On the … [32][38] Tornado watches were also issued in Northeastern South Carolina and Eastern North Carolina. Isaias strengthened into a Category 1 hurricane the next day, reaching a peak intensity of 85 mph (140 km/h) and a minimum central pressure of 987 mbar (hPa; 29.15 inHg). The probabilities are a significant increase from the 25-30% likelihood from yesterday’s model guidance. The graphics above show the barometric pressure field.

[21][22][23] The system lost tropical characteristics as it merged with a cold front to the west,[24] becoming extratropical at 03:00 UTC on August 5, over southern Quebec, east-southeast of Montreal,[25] with the NHC discontinuing advisories on the storm at 09:00 UTC. The spaghetti model for Hurricane Isaias shows the storm tracking up the coast of Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas over the weekend and into early next week. The cone of uncertainty provided by data from the National Hurricane Center projects it to grow into a hurricane as it heads north toward the Carolinas. In short, it gives you a way to see where a tropical storm or hurricane may head. The latest National Hurricane Center forecast is highlighted below.

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